I know that I have been gone for a while. Most of it has to do with the season, both for work and personally. In the midst of the latest bout of snow that Northern Michigan just had, I was working, so I didn’t get a chance to blog this. I try to get to these things when I can. So with that in mind, here we go with the next storm…
First off, we had a few records that fell for snow fall with the two lake effect events that pushed through northern Michigan. Both were very similar with cold air entrenched in the Upper Great Lakes producing lake effect snow before the cold front then the snow with the front, and finally the west to northwest flow that came in off of Lakes Michigan and Superior. We had one of our busier Novembers that I can remember and I have been at this office for 15+ years. As I said cold air was entrenched, and the last that I saw we were, for the city of Gaylord, having the coldest November on record. This set us up for this one-two punch of snow that has now put most of the Northwest and North Central Lower, and East Upper Michigan into the most snow for November. The only consolation to this snow is that it has been rather fluffy with 20″ to 1″ snow to water ratios. This means that moving it by shovel has been less than if it had been 18 inches of system snow with its 10″ to 1″ ratio.
This brings us up to what happened. Now, we will discuss what is to happen over the weekend, and while rain sounds good, it does have its problems.
The first problem is that the cold air will remain in the region through the night, and into early Saturday morning, and with the increasing moisture, and forced upward into the highland of Northern Michigan, there will be drizzle, and with the temperatures still below 32°F we will have freezing drizzle. There is some expected accumulation of ice, so there has been a Freezing Rain Advisory (ice accumulations<0.25″). This will cause problems through the night as the Advisory is in affect from 1 am to 7 am Saturday.
After that there will be a break, it looks like there will be just regular drizzle through the day and Saturday night. However, then the system developing in the Southern Plains will move into the Upper Great Lakes, and bring rain Sunday through Monday morning. The problem will be that the rain will melt the snow and it is looking like the amount of rain will be significant. This will be a system to watch. I’ll bring more through the weekend.