Need to Watch Monday…06/21/2015

 WS06-21-15We could get some severe thunderstorms on Monday. There is no guarantee, I joke a work that SPC should have formula that says, if northern Michigan, then lower by one category. At least that seems to be the trend of the last 8 years. None the less, it  is an interesting set up.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch #221 in effect until 10 pm…05/26/2015

ww0221_radarHere’s the radar at 445pm for the current watch. I’m currently getting ready for work, and I have a few minutes to tell you what I know.

  • It’s a SEVERE Thunderstorm watch, with the risk for winds greater than 60 mph and damaging hail.
  • There is a low chance (less than 10% chance) for a tornado.
  • Main threats are winds (typical for northern Michigan) and hail.
  • Instability is limited, so the storms to watch for are isolated storms ahead of the line where the instability can spike up.

I wouldn’t be surprised if this gets going in our office’s area near M-55 and areas east of I-75. After that, the instability will begin to deflate as we pass the heat of the day, which is now(500pm) while I write this.

Things still are on the cool side, but a little warmer than they were…05/09/2015

Things here have been semi-active, with a few weather things that have happened while I was working. Just remember, that if I am working, I can’t always get to my blog to get things written. I’m hoping to do some video, harking back to the days when I was podcasting this. It won’t be regular, but it will happen. Also, I have found a site that does some excellent tropical analysis, and hope to start sharing that as well, especially once we get into hurricane season. I can’t always keep up with the severe weather going on in other parts of the country, it can get a bit overwhelming with my schedule, but will get some of my links updated for anyone to follow the severe season. So for now, keep hoping that I can get a break and really get some weather here to write about.

Lake Effect snow…01/04/2015

Screenshot_2015-01-04-15-59-08Here’s the Lake effect snow. As the system that gave us light precipitation on and off the last few days, the last day as the system pulls east, is now adding lake effect snow bands in the synoptic snow. That’s why you see the green bands (lake effect) crossing the darker blue bands (synoptic snow with the low). This typically means that someone, by the end of the day will “hit the jackpot.” Right now, Gaylord is getting some good snow since about 11am…IMG_1401The picture to the right is out my front window with the large flakes of Lake Effect snow dumping down on us. I’m not looking forward to shoveling since my snowblower took a dump on me again.

More on the storm for Christmas #holidaytravel…12/20/2014 update

wspmHere’s the latest from the office with this storm…

Quiet weather continues tonight into Sunday, with low cloud cover spreading into the region. A little light snow will fall Sunday night, mainly in areas north of M-32 into eastern upper Michigan, before a strong low pressure takes aim on the region into midweek. That storm will bring mild temperatures and rain Monday night into Wednesday, changing to snow Christmas Eve into Christmas morning, as windy conditions develop and temperatures fall. Hazardous travel is possible Christmas Eve into Christmas Day.

So we watch and wait. This storm is looking interesting and looks like the European model (ECMWF) is winning out on the possible track. I’ll have more tomorrow after church.